Saturday, December 02, 2006

Winter Festival To Start On A Silent Note

The 2006 Winter Festival gets under way at Fairyhouse, and Harry Rodgers could get his third winner of the year in the Bee Bee Developments Hurdle with Silent Oscar.

Personally it comes as a surprise we can get odds against on a horse who has form as good as this one.

He was hardly fluent in his hurdling in the Grade 2 Lismullen, arguably over a trip further than his optimum, yet was still able to run a well respect 4th, and sandwich horses in the late 130s. And looking at his novice season just reads for further promise too. He beat Kinger Rocks pretty comfortably at Punchestown, and prior to that was running a very good race before being brought down in a race won by Kinger Rocks.

Arc En Ciel will not appreciate the ease in the ground, and Breathing Fire is not the same horse as last season, and until recovering that form is readily overlooked.

You Sir is arguably the danger, yet if you look at the form of Militant, he has 47+ lengths to find on Silent Oscar, and even though I don't expect that form to be taken, and reproduced literally, it's hard to envisage You Sir reproduce last years performances which got him a lofty reputation.

A reproduction of Silent Oscar's defeat of Kinger Rocks, or his run in the Lismullen makes him a stand out bet at odds of 5/4+, as his opposition are hardly of the highest calibre.

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